The Fund returned 2.0%* in sterling terms in August. The MSCI Europe ex-UK index comparator benchmark returned 2.7% and the average return made by funds in the IA Europe ex-UK sector, also a comparator benchmark, was 3.5%.
Nothing changed in the macroeconomic backdrop during August to disturb the steady uptrend in equity markets that stretches back to March 2020. Global Covid-19 cases continue to rise, posing a threat to the economic recovery from last year’s lockdown measures, and central banks remain in the spotlight as commentators speculate as to when the pickup in inflation might prompt some tightening of policy.
On the latter front, the biggest talking point was the speech given by Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell to the Jackson Hole economic symposium, staged as an online-only event this year. While suggesting that the Fed is on course to reduce its monthly asset purchases by the end of the year, he also noted that this tapering should be viewed independently of interest rate rises, the timing of which will be dependent on separate criteria. Investors digested this message without any noticeable damage to the prevailing bullish sentiment.
Equity market strength was fairly broad-based. Of the MSCI Europe ex-UK Index’s 11 industries, only consumer discretionary (-2.4%) finished in negative territory in sterling terms. IT (+7.7%), utilities (+4.9%) and healthcare (+4.3%) were the largest risers.
The portfolio’s best performer in August was Bank of Ireland (+20%). It reported on a strong recovery in business performance which saw operating profit of €465m in the first half of the year, up 72% on last year’s level and 7% higher than 2019. The result reflects increases in net interest income and business income, a reduction in costs, and a negligible net impairment charge after minimal loan losses. The outlook for the rest of the year is bright with 5% income growth expected in the second half compared to the first six months.
Likewise, Novo Nordisk (+9.3%) has seen good profit growth in the first half of 2021 and is predicting an acceleration in the rest of the year. Operating profit rose 9% in constant currency terms and the Danish diabetes specialist now expects full-year growth of 9-12%. Sales growth is being fuelled by its portfolio of GLP-1 (glucagen-like peptide) products for type 2 diabetes (Rybelsus, Ozempic and Victoza).
A higher oil price (up 28% compared with Q1) and lower operating expenses allowed Tethys Oil (-11%) to record large increases in Q2 EBITDA and free cash flow, but relatively muted production levels and a disappointing key drilling update dampened the tone of the update. Net daily production fell from 11,585 barrels per day in Q1 to 11,030 in Q2. The results of its Thameen-1 exploration well in Block 49 in Oman recorded no flows, despite promising earlier assessments.
Shares in Pandora (-6.1%) slid despite a Q2 update which showed more progression of positive trends, possibly indicating some profit taking following a very strong run. Organic sales growth was 84% compared with 2020 and 13% versus 2019. On average 15% of physical stores were temporarily closed during the quarter, falling to 8% by August. Sales growth has been led by its US and online operations.
Positive contributors to performance included:
Bank of Ireland (+20%), ASML (+11%) and Novo Nordisk (+9.3%)
Negative contributors to performance included:
Tethys Oil (-11%), Boliden (-9.8%) and Pandora (-6.1%).
Discrete years' performance** (%), to previous quarter-end:
Jun-21 |
Jun-20 |
Jun-19 |
Jun-18 |
Jun-17 |
|
Liontrust European Growth I Inc |
43.8% |
2.2% |
-1.7% |
5.0% |
29.3% |
MSCI Europe ex UK |
21.8% |
0.0% |
7.3% |
1.8% |
28.0% |
IA Europe Excluding UK |
23.7% |
0.9% |
3.3% |
3.1% |
29.2% |
Quartile |
1 |
2 |
4 |
2 |
3 |
*Source: Financial Express, as at 31.08.21, total return (net of fees and income reinvested), bid-to-bid, institutional class. Non fund-related return data sourced from Bloomberg.
**Source: Financial Express, as at 30.06.21, total return (net of fees and income reinvested), bid-to-bid, primary class.
Key Risks