The Fund’s A5 share class returned -1.4%* in euro terms in November. This Fund’s target benchmark, the MSCI Europe Small Cap Index, returned -3.2%.
For most of the month, investors continued to focus on when growing inflationary forces would prompt central bank action. While the Bank of England surprised by declining to raise interest rates at its November meeting, the US Federal Reserve confirmed it would immediately start scaling back its $120bn a month bond-buying programme. With US consumer price inflation for October later revealed to be running at 6.2%, the fastest annual pace since 1990, the re-nominated Fed Chair Jay Powell commented that it was time to retire the term “transitory” as a description of current price pressures.
But events in the final week or so were the most decisive in terms of market direction, with news of a new Covid-19 variant pushing global equity markets sharply lower. As European markets slid, only two sectors of the MSCI Europe Index stayed in positive territory in euro terms: communication services (+1.3%) and real estate (+0.5%). Energy (-6.5%) and finance (-5.6%) were the weakest sectors.
Marks & Spencer (+28%) was a standout performer as it announced half-year results showing very strong growth and upgraded its full-year guidance. In the six months to 2 October, sales rebounded 24% (to £5.1bn) from last year’s period, which was heavily affected by covid-related closures. The comparison with the prior 2019/2020 financial year is more telling. On this basis, sales still show very good growth of 5.2% while improved margin mix and operational gearing helped drive operating profit to a 35% increase to £363m. Although the company is wary of growing cost pressures, a better-than-expected start to trading in the second half of the year has given it confidence to upgrade full-year profit before tax guidance to £500m.
Although Simcorp (-14%) maintained its full-year financial guidance, its shares slipped on Q3 numbers that were moderately behind consensus estimates. Revenues rose 7.1% year-on-year to €107m, behind analyst forecasts of €107m. The company says operating profit margins are set for a larger-than-expected boost from subscription renewals and conversions. However, it cautions that the sales process continues to be adversely affected by Covid-19 restrictions on travel, resulting in postponed sales and longer timelines.
As a catering and support services provider, Elior Group (-17%) is one of the portfolio stocks to be most exposed to any lockdown measures that are imposed. Just days prior to the Omicron variant sending markets lower, the company had issued encouraging full-year results. Q4 revenues has recovered to 85% of pre-pandemic levels, up from the 73% - 74% range of the previous three quarters. For next year, the company had forecast organic growth of at least 18%, but this has immediately been overshadowed by the deterioration in the pandemic.
WH Smith (-16%) is another that is clearly exposed to any lockdown measures. The company operates retail stores on the high street and in transport hubs such as airports and rail stations. Although results showed recent trading recovering to over 80% of pre-pandemic levels, investors swiftly priced in the increased risk of fresh trading headwinds for the retail and transport sectors.
Among the portfolio’s largest positive contributors to performance, Concentric (+8.5%) consolidated on October’s very strong gains as it released in-line Q3 results, and Impax Asset Management (+20%) moved higher as investors anticipated the release of full-year results in early December.
Positive contributors to performance included:
Marks & Spencer (+28%), Impax Asset Management (+20%) and Concentric (+8.5%)
Negative contributors to performance included:
Elior Group (-17%), WH Smith (-16%), Simcorp (-14%).
Discrete years' performance** (%), to previous quarter-end:
Sep-21 |
Sep-20 |
Sep-19 |
Sep-18 |
|
Liontrust GF European Smaller Companies A5 Acc EUR |
59.7% |
-2.1% |
-6.9% |
1.7% |
MSCI Europe Small Cap Index |
38.0% |
0.2% |
-1.8% |
3.4% |
*Source: Financial Express, as at 30.11.21, total return (net of fees and income reinvested).
**Source: Financial Express, as at 30.09.21, total return (net of fees and income reinvested). Discrete data is not available for five full 12-month periods due to the launch date of the portfolio. Investment decisions should not be based on short-term performance.
Key Risks