The Fund returned -3.5%* in sterling terms in November. The MSCI Europe ex-UK index comparator benchmark returned -1.7% and the average return made by funds in the IA Europe ex-UK sector, also a comparator benchmark, was -1.7%.
For most of the month, investors continued to focus on when growing inflationary forces would prompt central bank action. While the Bank of England surprised by declining to raise interest rates at its November meeting, the US Federal Reserve confirmed it would immediately start scaling back its $120bn a month bond-buying programme. With US consumer price inflation for October later revealed to be running at 6.2%, the fastest annual pace since 1990, the re-nominated Fed Chair Jay Powell commented that it was time to retire the term “transitory” as a description of current price pressures.
But events in the final week or so were the most decisive in terms of market direction, with news of a new Covid-19 variant pushing global equity markets sharply lower. As European markets slid, only two sectors of the MSCI Europe ex-UK Index stayed in positive territory in sterling terms: communication services (+1.6%) and materials (+0.8%). Energy (-5.8%) and finance (-4.3%) were the weakest sectors.
Although Simcorp (-14%) maintained its full-year financial guidance, its shares slipped on Q3 numbers that were moderately behind consensus estimates. Revenues rose 7.1% year-on-year to €107m, behind analyst forecasts of €107m. The company says operating profit margins are set for a larger-than-expected boost from subscription renewals and conversions. However, it cautions that the sales process continues to be adversely affected by Covid-19 restrictions on travel, resulting in postponed sales and longer timelines.
Q3 results from Norwegian shipping and logistics giant AP Moller-Maersk (+7.2%) showed the extent to which it is benefiting from global supply chain problems currently. Higher freight rates drove revenues up to $16.6bn, a 68% year-on-year rise. The benign operating environment allowed for a trebling of EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation) to $6.6bn.
However, higher freight rates are contributing to cost worries at Danish drinks company Royal Unibrew (-12%). Q3 organic volume growth slipped to 4% in Q3, down from 13% in the first half of the year. While the company is sticking with its 2021 forecasts, its outlook for 2022 will have caused some investor concern. Significant rises for raw material prices and freight costs mean that next year could prove “very demanding”, as its cost hedging measures expire.
Positive contributors to performance included:
ABB (+7.7%), AP Moller-Maersk (+7.2%) and Moncler (+4.0%).
Negative contributors to performance included:
Simcorp (-14%), Royal Unibrew (-12%) and Stellantis (-12%).
Discrete years' performance** (%), to previous quarter-end:
Sep-21 |
Sep-20 |
Sep-19 |
Sep-18 |
Sep-17 |
|
Liontrust European Growth I Inc |
42.8% |
3.5% |
-3.0% |
6.8% |
16.7% |
MSCI Europe ex UK |
20.9% |
-0.5% |
5.8% |
1.3% |
21.4% |
IA Europe Excluding UK |
22.4% |
3.1% |
2.2% |
1.9% |
21.9% |
Quartile |
1 |
2 |
4 |
1 |
4 |
*Source: Financial Express, as at 30.11.21, total return (net of fees and income reinvested), bid-to-bid, institutional class. Non fund-related return data sourced from Bloomberg.
**Source: Financial Express, as at 30.09.21, total return (net of fees and income reinvested), bid-to-bid, primary class.
Key Risks