The Fund’s A4 share class returned 3.9%* in euro terms in October. The Fund’s comparator benchmarks, the MSCI Europe Index and HFRX Equity Hedge EUR Index, returned 4.7% and 2.1% respectively.
The macroeconomic picture remained very similar in October. Energy prices remained elevated, contributing to inflationary pressures; Brent crude, for example, moved above $86 a barrel late in the month, its highest level for around seven years.
The US 5-year breakeven index – the inflation expectation priced into the spread between conventional and inflation-linked government bonds – rose by around 40bps in October to almost 3%. Together with global supply chain problems, this is contributing to inflationary trends which are putting central banks under pressure to act.
However, global equity indices show little sign of investor nervousness over the macroeconomic backdrop, with many of them at or near all-time highs. The MSCI Europe Index notched up a 4.7% monthly gain in euro terms.
There was little discernible pattern to the European market’s sector returns, with the performance table bookended by utilities (+8.2%) and communications services (-2.9%) – two of the most typically defensive areas. There was some evidence of strength in growth-style equities relative to their value counterparts, but the Fund – which has a heavy value tile currently – still recorded a good performance relative to the market in October.
The Fund’s October performance was robust in the context of net market exposure which began the month at under 60%. The good participation in the rally was driven by a long book which kept pace with the market’s rise and a short book which – while still detracting slightly in absolute terms – comprised stocks that on average significantly underperformed.
The Fund’s net market exposure was reduced to 40% over the course of the month as the Fund’s short book was expanded. We increased the short book as a reaction to the high and climbing levels of corporate aggression that our investment process is currently identifying. We view aggressive investment levels as a key contrarian market indicator and expect the Fund’s short book to benefit from this environment of corporate over-optimism.
Portfolio returns were boosted by a sharp rise in the shares in Swedish pump manufacturer Concentric (+55%). It shot higher on news of a $147m deal to acquire Engineered Machined Products (EMP), a US producer of electrical water and oil pumps, electric fans and thermal management systems. The integration of EMP’s product portfolio into Concentric’s offering boosts its sustainable credentials as its clients in transport and infrastructure increasingly move towards carbon-neutral goals.
Italian clothing retailer Moncler (+15%) was also among the long book’s biggest contributors after announcing a marked acceleration in Q3 sales that exceeded its expectations. Sales rose by 33% in the quarter compared with 2019 pre-pandemic levels. The growth was boosted by particularly high growth in its direct-to-consumer channels in China, Korea and the US.
One of the short book’s best positions was an online beauty and nutrition retailer whose shares fell heavily in October as investors were unimpressed by a capital markets day and Q3 results announcement. The Funds also benefitted from a heavy fall in a Norwegian video conferencing provider after it was the subject of a broker rating downgrade. Among the short book detractors was a US renewable energy provider whose Q3 results beat expectations.
Discrete years' performance** (%), to previous quarter-end:
Sep-21 |
Sep-20 |
Sep-19 |
Sep-18 |
Sep-17 |
|
Liontrust GF European Strategic Equity |
36.8% |
-14.9% |
3.0% |
2.6% |
5.2% |
MSCI Europe |
28.8% |
-7.8% |
5.7% |
1.5% |
16.3% |
HFRX Equity Hedge EUR |
16.5% |
-2.4% |
-3.5% |
-1.1% |
5.8% |
*Source: Financial Express, as at 31.10.21, total return (income reinvested and net of fees).
**Source: Financial Express, as at 30.09.21, total return (income reinvested and net of fees).
Key Risks