The Liontrust China Fund returned -14.2% over the third quarter, versus the IA China/Greater China which returned -11.1% and -16.2% from the MSCI China Index (both comparator benchmarks)*.
The Chinese market experienced increased volatility this quarter, finishing down -16.2%. This was largely due to new regulation announced by the Chinese government as well as news on the potential default of Evergrande, a property developer. The regulatory focus moved to the video game industry, which was affected by restricted play time for minors and new guidelines on gaming content. There was also increased regulation for casino operators, currently under public consultation. This, coupled with the education and fintech regulation announced last quarter, further dampened sentiment on the regulatory outlook. Concerns also increased around Evergrande and whether its inability to pay debts may have further consequences for different areas of the financial industry. However, the government has since stepped in to announce it will support a controlled restructuring.
The Liontrust China Fund returned -14.2% in the quarter, outperforming the returns made by the market. Several companies in the portfolio were impacted by wide ranging new regulation, particularly those in the gaming and ecommerce sectors. However, companies in the renewables industry, in particular our position in a wind farm operator as well as a wind turbine manufacturer, continued to outperform due to government support and a strong long-term outlook. An EV manufacturer also performed well as sales in China continue to beat expectations. Finally, the Taiwanese holdings in our portfolio held up well as they were insulated from regulatory concerns.
This quarter, we adjusted our weightings in the financials space, trimming an insurer and adding to a leader in the provision of wealth management services, which we believe will benefit from China’s rising middle class. We also added Hong Kong Exchange which stands to benefit from China’s goal to internationalise its financial sector. We topped up our position in a restaurant chain after the announcement of a resilient and competitive long term business strategy, despite a short-term increase in Covid cases in August. This was paid for by trimming positions in ecommerce and other areas we perceive to have high regulatory risk. We also reduced our position in a property developer due to reduced liquidity following regulation and took some profits on a sportswear name after very strong performance.
China has now vaccinated roughly 70% of the population and the government continues to effectively handle new outbreaks with renewed lockdowns and widespread testing. Regulatory concerns surrounding the technology space have increased, however we believe this is a short-term issue and that leading companies are likely to emerge better regulated and stronger. As outlined in the five-year plan in March, we believe China will continue to place emphasis on technological development, domestic consumer demand and the transition to cleaner energy. Stocks are now trading at a considerable discount to long term averages providing an attractive value proposition. Due to the government’s continued emphasis on financial stability, we believe there will be a controlled and orderly transition for Evergrande.
Discrete years' performance (%)**, to previous quarter-end:
|
Sep-21 |
Sep-20 |
Sep-19 |
Sep-18 |
Sep-17 |
Liontrust China C Acc GBP |
-3.4 |
22.6 |
0.2 |
1.2 |
21.7 |
MSCI China |
-11.2 |
27.3 |
1.7 |
0.6 |
28.8 |
IA China/Greater China |
1.6 |
26.8 |
4.8 |
2.7 |
23.1 |
Quartile |
3 |
3 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
*Source: FE Analytics as at 30.09.21
**Source: FE Analytics as at 30.09.21. Quartiles generated on 06.10.21.
Key Risks